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2017-18 Gold Key Football Plays




Sunday February 4


Gold Key Play, Over 48.5 Total Points, Philadelphia/New England   (Super Bowl LII, 6:30 et)   (Roof)   (WINNER)

   
    The NFC Champion Eagles of the East Division enter the Big Dance with a record of 15-3 Straight Up, and 12-6 Against The Spread for their second-year Head Coach Doug Pederson.  They showed prowess on the Offensive side of the ball in the NFC Championship game, and may need to put points on the board to give themselves a chance here.  Trends favoring the Over in Eagles events include 58-44 Over in non-Conference Play, 13-7 Over as Dogs, and 101-82 Over versus winning teams.

    The World Champion Patriots of the AFC East also finished at 15-3 SU and 12-6 ATS for their long-tenured Head Coach Bill Belichick.  They may be a cut below their recent Championship teams, and simply outscored the majority of their rivals.  Trends favoring the Over in Patriots games include 115-85 Over on Turf fields, 3-1 Over with this much Rest, and 4-1 Over in the Post Season.

    The Totals line closed at 48.5.  We'll go with the Over here tonight in a Gold Key Play.


 
--Rich Green

Editor@GoldKeyGames.com





Sunday January 21


Gold Key Play, PHILADELPHIA +3 over Minnesota   (NFL Playoffs, 6:40 et)   (Weather)   (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)


    The NFC East Champion Eagles made it to their Conference Championship at Home with a record of 14-3 Straight Up, and 11-6 Against The Spread for their second-year Head Coach Doug Pederson.  They can keep this event closer than expected by playing almost mistake-free Offense and continued strong Defense.  Positive trends for the Eagles this evening include 10-1 SU at Home, 5-1 SU and ATS in this match up at Home, and 6-0 ATS when the line is within a Field Goal.

    The NFC North Champion Vikings under their fourth-year Head Coach Mike Zimmer stand at 14-3 SU, and 11-5-1 ATS.  They have done little wrong while advancing to the NFC Title game here and deserve the Favorite role.  Negative trends for the Vikings include 2-6 ATS on the Road when the Total is in this point range, 13-18 ATS as slight Road Favorites, and 8-12 ATS in the Playoffs.

    The line opened at Vikings -3.5 and dropped the hook.  We'll take those points and the Home Eagles to cover for us here today in a Gold Key Play.


  --Rich Green

Editor@GoldKeyGames.com





Sunday January 14


Gold Key Play, Under 41 Total Points, Jacksonville at PITTSBURGH   (NFL Playoffs, 1:05 et)   (Weather)   (Loser)


    The AFC South Champion Jaguars under their first-year Head Coach Doug Marrone are 11-6 Straight Up, and 9-8 Against The Spread.  Their Defense may need to be up to the task here as their Offense showed little at Home last week in a SU Playoff win.  Trends favoring the Under in Jaguars events include 8-1 Under as Road Dogs in this point range, 3-0 Under in January, and 5-1 Under versus the AFC North.

    The AFC North Champion Steelers stand at 13-3 SU, and 7-9 ATS for their long-tenured Head Coach Mike Tomlin.  They seek Revenge here after Game Five's SU loss at Home to this rival.  Trends favoring the Under in Steelers games include 26-14 Under on Grass fields, 4-1 Under in the Playoffs, and 27-13 Under in Conference Play.

    The Totals line stands at 41.  We'll go with the Under here today in a Gold Key Play.


  --Rich Green

Editor@GoldKeyGames.com





Saturday January 13


Gold Key Play, Under 40.5 Total Points, Atlanta at PHILADELPHIA   (NFL Playoffs, 4:35 et)   (Weather)   (WINNER)


    The NFC Champion Falcons of the South Division under their third-year Head Coach Dan Quinn are 11-6 Straight Up, and 8-9 Against The Spread.  They advanced here after defeating the Rams on the Road as the last Wild card team last week.  Trends favoring the Under in Falcons events include 6-0 Under lately, 9-1 Under versus winning teams, and 4-0 Under on Grass fields.

    The Eagles won the NFC East Division for their second-year Head Coach Doug Pederson with a record of 13-3 SU, and 10-6 ATS.  They will be without Quarterback Wentz again, as well as reportedly the first number one seed to open as Dogs in the Playoffs.  Trends favoring the Under in Eagles games include 22-9 Under off a Bye Week, 15-9 Under at Home, and 5-2 Under lately.

    The Totals line closed at 40.5.  We'll go with the Under here today in a Gold Key Play.


  --Rich Green

Editor@GoldKeyGames.com





Monday January 8


Gold Key Play, Over 45 Total Points, Alabama/Georgia   (NCAA Championship, 8:10 et)   (Ret. Roof)   (WINNER)


    The Top Five ranked Crimson Tide of the SEC West Division return to the National Championship game for their long-tenured Head Coach Nick Saban with a record of 12-1 Straight Up, and 6-7 Against The Spread on the season.  While they have played awesome on Defense lately, this event can be higher-scoring than expected.  Trends favoring the Over in Tide games include 6-2 Over as Neutral field Favorites in this point range, 21-12 Over on Turf fields, and 11-4 Over in January.

    The Top Five ranked Bulldogs of the SEC East Division stand at 13-1 SU, and 10-4 ATS for their second-year Head Coach Kirby Smart.  They have played well on Offense and will need to put points on the board to run with their rival this evening.  Trends favoring the Over in Bulldogs games include 9-4 Over in Domes, 3-1 Over on Mondays, and 3-1 Over on Neutral fields.

    The Totals line stands at 45.  We'll go with the Over here tonight in a Gold Key Play.


  --Rich Green

Editor@GoldKeyGames.com





Sunday January 7


Gold Key Play, JACKSONVILLE -8 over Buffalo   (NFL Playoffs, 1 et)   (Weather)   (Loser)


    The Jaguars won the AFC South Division and will host their first Playoff game this century for their first-year Head Coach Doug Marrone.  They finished the regular season at 10-6 Straight Up, and 9-7 Against The Spread, and look best here.  Positive trends for the Jaguars this afternoon include 6-1 ATS after playing the Titans, 5-1 ATS off a SU loss, and 9-5 ATS on Grass fields.

    The Bills of the AFC East Division made it here to the Wild card Round with a record of 9-7 SU, and 8-6-2 ATS for their first-year Head Coach Sean McDermott.  They won for us last week and earlier in the season, but face a tougher task today after making the Playoffs for the first time this century.  Negative trends for the Bills include 7-12 ATS in January, 3-7 ATS as Dogs, and 29-45 ATS off a SU win in Division Play.

    The line stands at Jaguars -8.  We'll go with the Home Jaguars to cover for us here today in a Gold Key Play.


  --Rich Green

Editor@GoldKeyGames.com





Saturday January 6


Gold Key Play, Under 44.5 Total Points, Tennessee at KANSAS CITY   (NFL Playoffs, 4:30 et)   (Weather)   (WINNER)


    The Titans of the AFC South Division under their second-year Head Coach Mike Mularkey made it to the post season in this Wild Card event with a record of 9-7 Straight Up, and 8-7-1 Against The Spread on the season.  They will need to play well on Defense to prevail this afternoon.  Trends favoring the Under in Titans games include 4-1 Under versus the AFC West, 7-4 Under versus winning teams, and 3-0 Under in the Wild Card Round.

    The AFC West winning Chiefs finished the regular season at 10-6 SU and ATS for their fifth-year Head Coach Andy Reid.  They prefer lower-scoring ball control type games at Home, and can get one here.  Trends favoring the Under in Chiefs games include 10-0 Under at Home when the Total is in this point range, 24-15 Under as Favorites, and 15-7 Under off multiple SU wins in a row.

    The Totals line opened and closed at 44.5.  We'll go with the Under here today in a Gold Key Play.


  --Rich Green

Editor@GoldKeyGames.com





Monday January 1


Gold Key Play, South Carolina +9 over Michigan   (Outback Bowl, Noon et)   (Weather)   (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)


    The Gamecocks of the SEC East Division under their second-year Head Coach Will Muschamp made it here as Bowlers with a record of 8-4 Straight Up, and 7-4-1 Against The Spread.  They may be without some starters, but want to be here.  Positive trends for the Gamecocks include 7-1 ATS as Dogs, 4-0 ATS as Dogs in this point range, and 22-14 ATS with this much Rest.

    The Wolverines of the Big Ten East Division stand at 8-4 SU and 6-6 ATS for their third-year Head Coach Jim Harbaugh.  They figure to be well-prepared and deserve the Favorite role.  Negative trends for the Wolverines include 1-4 ATS with this much Rest, 8-15 ATS off multiple SU losses in a row, and 71-88 ATS versus winning teams.

    The line stands at Wolverines -9.  We'll take those points and the Gamecocks to cover for us here today in a Gold Key Play.


Gold Key Play, Alabama -3.5 over Clemson   (Sugar Bowl, 8:45 et)   (Dome)   (WINNER)


    The Top Five ranked Crimson Tide of the SEC West Division stands at 11-1 SU, and 5-7 ATS for long-tenured Football Coach Nick Saban.  There can be no bigger game for the State or Tide backers than this one.  Positive trends for the Crimson Tide include 32-22 ATS with this much Rest, 8-2 ATS on Turf fields, and 6-3 ATS on Neutral fields.

    The Top ranked Tigers of the ACC Atlantic Division get a chance to defend their National Title with a record of 12-1 SU, and 8-3-2 ATS for their long-tenured Head Coach Dabo Swinney.  They have done little wrong and will play hard this evening, and while we won with them as Dogs in this match up the past two years, we change course here.  Their few negative trends include 2-4 ATS on Turf fields, and 22-27 ATS off the Bye.

    The line closed at Crimson Tide -3.5.  We'll go with the Crimson Tide to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Play.


  --Rich Green

Editor@GoldKeyGames.com