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Early NCAA games will generally be posted one hour before tip off. Afternoon games will generally be posted by Noon ET, and evening games by 5 PM ET. Check before that time for messages and updates if you like. Lines differ depending upon sources, and move rapidly close to game time. Start decreasing your Gold Key Pick if your Line is more than 1.5 points against what is posted.
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October 27, 2009
Check back as we go for yet another winning Hoops season!
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--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Sunday June 14
Gold Key Pick, Lakers +3.5 Over ORLANDO (NBA Playoffs, 8:05 et) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
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The Lakers under their Hall of Fame Head Coach Phil Jackson kept themselves within striking distance and stole Game Four in OverTime. With a 2-3-2 Series format, they control their own destiny at Home even if they don't win here tonight. The Lakers have been deadly as Dogs and should continue to play well here in Game Five. Positive trends include 11-2 Against The Spread as Dogs, and 28-22 ATS on the Road.
The Magic under their Head Coach Stan Van Gundy came up empty in a hard fought Game Five, and must win the remaining three events of the Finals. This is a good Defensive and athletic team, and always dangerous in any one game. Virtually all trends are positive here for the Magic, who must be respected in another gut-check game.
The line opened at Magic -3 and has added the hook. We'll take those points and the Road Lakers to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Thursday June 11
Gold Key Pick, Lakers +2 Over ORLANDO (NBA Playoffs, 9:05 et) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
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The Lakers under their Hall of Fame Head Coach Phil Jackson kept themselves within striking distance in Game Three throughout, and look to steal one on the Road. With a 2-3-2 Series format, they return Home for Games Six and Seven after playing three away from Home. The Lakers have been deadly as Dogs and should adjust in Game Four. Positive trends include 10-2 Against The Spread as Dogs, and 27-22 ATS on the Road.
The Magic under their Head Coach Stan Van Gundy came up with a hard fought win in Game Three, and must continue to take each event one game at a time. They still are standing around and watching their rival in spots, and have to continue to mature as a team. Virtually all trends are positive here for the Magic, who must be respected in another gut-check game.
The line opened today at Magic -2.5 and dropped the hook. We'll take those points and the Road Lakers to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Tuesday June 9
Gold Key Pick, Lakers +4.5 Over ORLANDO (NBA Playoffs, 9:05 et) (WINNER)
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The Lakers under their Hall of Fame Head Coach Phil Jackson played well enough when it counted to pull off a Straight Up win in OverTime to take a two games to none lead as they head to the Magic for three events. When G Bryant plays well along with F Odom, the supporting cast just has to hold their own. G Fisher improved, but C Bynum has shown nothing in two SU wins by his team in this Series. In a Game Three on the Road situation with a must-win for the Home team, usually the Refs will call a fair game as long as the Lakers play good Defense and keep the score close into the late third period. But the tendency in this type event is if the Lakers trail by say 10 points after roughly 30 minutes or so, the Refs can become Homers and let the Home Favorite run up the score. The Lakers are always dangerous as Dogs, and their Coaching staff still holds the advantage to adjust fastest IMHO.
The Magic under their Head Coach Stan Van Gundy gave themselves every chance to win Game Two SU on the Road, but failed when they missed a rim-out on their second to last possession, and when they beat the Lakers Defense to end the game with a close miss. The Magic can play great Defense and match up well versus their rival, but still haven't shown the maturity to run with them when it counts. If anyone can be given an advantage by the Officials tonight, the Magic must try to get their opponent into foul trouble early to control the pace of the game. Virtually all trends are positive for the Magic here, and they must be respected in a gut-check event.
The line opened today at Magic -4 and added the hook. We'll take those points and the Road Lakers to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Sunday June 7
Gold Key Pick, Orlando +7 Over LAKERS (NBA Playoffs, 8:05 et) (WINNER)
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The Eastern Conference Champion Magic under their Head Coach Stan Van Gundy played approximately 15 minutes in Game One, then spit the bit. While much credit should be given to their opponent, one can question the move of putting G Nelson back into the starting line-up after having been away with injury for the previous four months. You never take a jockey off a winning horse, and you never remove a Quarterback after a team win. The Magic can adjust for this all important Game Two, and this event can be closer than expected. Positive trends for the Magic here include 21-11 Against The Spread in Revenge mode, 31-15 ATS versus good Offensive teams, and 18-8 ATS as Dogs.
The Western Conference Champion Lakers under their Hall of Fame Head Coach Phil Jackson blew the competition away at Home in Game One, and look to continue their prowess this evening. They controlled the boards and played great Defense. Virtually all trends favor the Lakers here, and they must be respected.
The line opened today at Lakers -7. We'll take those points and the Road Magic to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Thursday June 4
Gold Key Pick, Orlando +6 Over LAKERS (NBA Playoffs, 9:05 et) (Loser)
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The Magic won the Eastern Conference Championship under their Head Coach Stan Van Gundy by defeating the Sixers, then upsetting both the Celtics and Cavaliers. They have been a great Road team this season, and the opener of the Finals can be closer than expected. Positive trends for the Magic tonight include 10-0 Against The Spread versus the Pacific Division, 18-7 ATS as Dogs, 32-19 ATS on the Road, and 31-14 ATS versus good Offensive teams.
The Lakers return to the League Finals under Hall of Fame Head Coach Phil Jackson after defeating the Jazz, Rockets and Nuggets in the Western Conference Playoffs. They are in fine fettle, and have an edge in experience with both their players and Coaching staff over their rival. Negative trends for the Lakers here include 0-6 ATS in the Finals, 2-8 ATS versus the Southeast Division, and 97-107 ATS as Favorites. This should be an awesome Series to watch!
The line opened today at Lakers -6. We'll take those points and the Road Magic to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Saturday May 30
Gold Key Pick, Under 193 Total Points, Cleveland at ORLANDO (NBA Playoffs, 8:35 et) (Push)
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The Cavaliers under their Head Coach Mike Brown trail the Eastern Conference Finals at three games to two after winning on their Home court in Game Five. They have lost the last five events Straight Up and Against The Spread on the Road in this match up. The Cavs will have to bear down on Defense tonight to bring this Series back Home for Game Seven. Trends favoring the Under in Cavs events include 6-0 Under on the Road when the Total is in this point range, 32-17 Under after a SU win in Double Digits, and 48-40 Under as Dogs.
The Magic under their Head Coach Stan Van Gundy are one win away from returning to the Finals for the first time since 1995. They are a powerful Defensive and athletic team, and are 13-2 ATS in this match up over the past three seasons. The Magic win games by playing strong Defense and by sharing the ball on the Offensive side. Trends favoring the Under in Magic games include 30-15 Under versus good Offensive teams, 19-12 Under in Revenge mode, and 45-29 Under as Favorites.
The Totals line opened at 193. We'll go with the Under here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Friday May 29
Gold Key Pick, Lakers +5.5 Over DENVER (NBA Playoffs, 9:05 et) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
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The Lakers under their Hall of Fame Head Coach Phil Jackson maintained the advantage in the Western Conference Finals with a win in Game Five at Home, and can advance to the League Finals with a win here tonight or at Home on Sunday. They are well-versed with their rival, and this game can be closer than expected. Positive trends for the Lakers here include 48-28 Against The Spread as Dogs, 78-61 ATS on the Road, and 33-22 ATS in this match up.
The Nuggets under their Head Coach George Karl face a do or die situation tonight at Home, and look to extend this Series to seven events. They have performed well in this round, show great numbers, and must be respected. The Nuggets do not figure to get the same Home bias here that they received in Game Four from the Refs, IMHO, as Playoff Games Six and Seven seem to be more fairly adjudicated.
The line opened today at Nuggets -5.5. We'll take those points and the Road Lakers to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Thursday May 28
Gold Key Pick, Over 191 Total Points, Orlando at CLEVELAND (NBA Playoffs, 8:35 et) (WINNER)
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The Magic under their Head Coach Stan Van Gundy hold a three games to one lead in the Eastern Conference Finals after a thrilling OverTime win at Home as Dogs in Game Four. They are 13-1 Against The Spread over the past three seasons in this match up versus the Cavaliers. With the pressure off of them unless/until this Series shifts back to Orlando for Game Six, this game can be higher-scoring than expected. Trends favoring the Over in Magic events include 4-1 Over when leading in a Playoff Series, 9-6 Over as Road Dogs in this point range, and 18-9 Over versus good Defensive teams.
The Cavaliers under their Head Coach Mike Brown were within one shot of going down in the Conference Finals in four games, and now must win the remaining three games to advance to the League Finals. The Cavs figure to put some points on the board this evening in a must-win situation at Home, and triple-digits seems likely. Trends favoring the Over in Cavs games include 30-18 Over after allowing 105 or more points, 24-20 Over versus winning teams, and 9-6 Over as Home Favorites in this point range.
The Totals line opened today at 190 and moved up. We'll go with the Over here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Wednesday May 27
Gold Key Pick, Under 209.5 Total Points, Denver at LAKERS (NBA Playoffs, 9:05 et) (WINNER)
CLICK HERE for Live NBA Basketball Lines
The Nuggets evened the Western Conference Finals at two games each under their Head Coach George Karl with a blowout win at Home in Game Four. IMHO the refs allowed the Home team to get away with numerous non-calls and questionable calls, which led to the first Over in this Series. The Nuggets need to steal a game on the Road to win the Western Conference Title, and they will have to do it by playing great Defense. Trends favoring the Under in Nuggets events include 20-9 Under as Dogs, 49-39 Under after a blowout win, and 25-15 Under versus good Offensive teams.
The Lakers under their Hall of Fame Head Coach Phil Jackson look to maintain their edge in this match up with a win at Home this evening. They were physically man-handled in Game Four on the Road, and that seems unlikely in front of the Home Faithful here. Trends favoring the Under in Lakers games include 8-1 Under in Conference Finals, 7-1 Under lately, 7-2 Under after a blowout loss, and 4-0 Under (this season) as Home Favorites in this point range.
The Totals line opened today at 209.5. We'll go with the Under here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Tuesday May 26
Gold Key Pick, ORLANDO +1.5 Over Cleveland (NBA Playoffs, 8:35 et) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
CLICK HERE for Live NBA Basketball Lines
The Magic under their Head Coach Stan Van Gundy grabbed a two games to one advantage by winning Game Three at Home in this Series. They are still 6-5 Dogs to win the Eastern Conference Title, after being prohibitive Dogs to start this round. The Magic have had the Cavs number this season, and look to be a worthwhile play getting points at Home tonight. Positive trends include 17-6 Against The Spread as Dogs, 30-13 ATS versus good Offensive teams, and 21-15 ATS after a Straight Up win of at least 10 points.
The Cavaliers under their Head Coach Mike Brown look to turn this Series back around. They will need to step up on Defense, and have been a great bet after a big loss. The Cavs have a true star in F James, and his supporting cast figures to step up their play this evening. Almost all trends are positive for the Cavs here, with the exception of 1-12 ATS in the match up over the past three seasons.
The line is currently listing the Cavaliers as 1.5 point Favorites. We'll take those points and the Home Magic to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Monday May 25
Gold Key Pick, Lakers +4.5 Over DENVER (NBA Playoffs, 9:05 et) (Loser)
CLICK HERE for Live NBA Basketball Lines
The Lakers under Hall of Fame Head Coach Phil Jackson regained the advantage in these Conference Finals by defeating their rival Straight Up on the Road in Game Three. Their opponent now has their back to the wall at Home, and the Lakers will have to play good Defense tonight to give themselves a chance. Positive trends for the Lakers include 8-1 Against The Spread as Dogs, 8-2 ATS on the Road when the Total is in this point range, and 78-60 ATS on the Road OverAll.
The Nuggets under long-tenured League Head Coach George Karl grabbed Game Two on the Road, then blew their advantage by losing at Home in Game Three. They are still 12-1 ATS in the Playoffs this season, and must be respected. Virtually all trends are positive for the Nuggets here, with the exception of 6-12 ATS in this Series lately, and 3-7 ATS off a SU loss as Favorites.
The line opened today at Nuggets -4.5. We'll take those points and the Road Lakers to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Sunday May 24
Gold Key Pick, Under 189.5 Total Points, Cleveland at ORLANDO (NBA Playoffs, 8:35 et) (WINNER)
CLICK HERE for Live NBA Basketball Lines
The Cavaliers under their Head Coach Mike Brown take to the Road after splitting the first two games of the Eastern Conference Finals. Sporting big half-time leads as heavy Single Digit Home Favorites, they allowed their rival to come storming back and both games came down to a final shot at the buzzer. The Cavs will have to return to playing 48 minutes of Defense if they are to prevail in this Series. Trends favoring the Under in Cavs events include 12-1 Under on Sundays this season, and 6-0 Under when the Total is in this point range on the Road.
The Magic under their Head Coach Stan Van Gundy gained Home court advantage by splitting the first two games of this Series on the Road, and now return to friendlier confines. This is a good Defensive and athletic team, and they are 11-1 Against The Spread in this match up lately. Trends favoring the Under in Magic games include 82-51 Under at Home, 29-13 Under versus good Offensive teams, and 44-29 Under as Favorites.
The Totals line overnited and closed at 189.5. We'll go with the Under here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help
Saturday May 23
Gold Key Pick, Lakers +3.5 Over DENVER (NBA Playoffs, 8:35 et) (WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
CLICK HERE for Live NBA Basketball Lines
The Lakers under Hall of Fame Head Coach Phil Jackson managed to win one of their first two events in these Conference Finals, and now must win back Home court advantage on the Road. They will have to play good Defense tonight to give themselves a chance. Positive trends for the Lakers include 7-1 Against The Spread as Dogs, 15-5 ATS when tied in a Playoff Series, and 77-60 ATS on the Road.
The Nuggets under long-tenured League Head Coach George Karl grabbed Game Two on the Road, and look to continue their excellent play this evening. They are 12-0 ATS in the Playoffs this season, and in fine fettle. Virtually all trends are positive for the Nuggets here, and they must be respected.
The line opened today at Nuggets -3.5. We'll take those points and the Road Lakers to cover for us here tonight in a Gold Key Pick.
--Rich Green
410-536-5111 if you need help